Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boston United win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
Result | ||
Boston United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
24.28% ( -0.13) | 22.76% ( 0.03) | 52.96% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.41% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( -0.23) | 41.65% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( -0.24) | 64.05% ( 0.24) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -0.23) | 30.67% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( -0.27) | 66.92% ( 0.27) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% ( -0.05) | 15.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.13% ( -0.09) | 44.86% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Boston United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.28% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 52.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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