Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.5% ( 0.15) | 25.38% ( -0.03) | 42.12% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( 0.15) | 48.13% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( 0.14) | 70.29% ( -0.15) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( 0.17) | 28.08% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% ( 0.22) | 63.75% ( -0.22) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( 0) | 22.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( 0.01) | 56.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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