Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.