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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Gibraltar national football team

N. Macedonia
4 - 0
Gibraltar

Bardhi (4'), Torilla (14' og.), Miovski (16'), Churlinov (31')
Nikolov (83')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (4'), Sergeant (84'), Chipolina (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between North Macedonia and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

Last Six:
Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Gibraltar

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: North Macedonia 3-0 Gibraltar

 Seeking to close out an underwhelming quartet of June fixtures with a resounding victory, North Macedonia should certainly secure maximum points at home in Skopje, as their opponents tend to struggle when away from the Rock. With a sizeable advantage in terms of top-level experience and technical ability, the hosts should already have victory wrapped up before easing off in the final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawGibraltar
60.47% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 15.33% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 40.13% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)58.73% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (0.068999999999999 0.07)79.26% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.29% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.040000000000006 0.04)51.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.72% (0.108 0.11)50.28% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.15% (0.074000000000002 0.07)84.85% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 60.46%
    Gibraltar 15.33%
    Draw 24.19%
North MacedoniaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 15.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 13.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 3.77% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.33%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Gibraltar

North Macedonia
88.2%
Draw
0.0%
Gibraltar
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 5pm
League C4
Gibraltar
0-2
N. Macedonia
Bardhi (21'), Nikolov (84')
Babunski (80')
Nov 19, 2018 7.45pm
League D4
N. Macedonia
4-0
Gibraltar
Bardhi (27'), Nestorovski (67', 80'), Trajkovski (90')

Annesley (41')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League D4
Gibraltar
0-2
N. Macedonia

De Barr (40'), Barnett (79')
Trickovski (19'), Alioski (35')
Alioski (77'), Trickovski (89')
rhs 2.0
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