Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match.