Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.