Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leeds United |
32.78% ( 0.36) | 26.09% ( -0.15) | 41.13% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% ( 0.73) | 51.08% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 0.64) | 72.94% ( -0.64) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( 0.6) | 29.36% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.66% ( 0.73) | 65.34% ( -0.73) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( 0.22) | 24.54% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( 0.31) | 59.01% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |