Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 0-3 (12.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
6.4% (![]() | 14.6% (![]() | 79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 37.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% (![]() | 43.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% (![]() | 66.08% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.35% (![]() | 58.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.05% (![]() | 89.94% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% (![]() | 9.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.28% (![]() | 30.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 2.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 1.77% Total : 6.4% | 1-1 @ 6.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 14.6% | 0-2 @ 15.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 12.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 12.27% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 78.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 46 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 26 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 19 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |