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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Trincao (8'), Quaresma (18'), Gyokeres (71'), Braganca (73'), Santos (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Braga

While Braga have been impressive this season, Sporting have been a different beast at Estadio Jose Alvalade, and a perfect record of 10 wins in 10 and averaging over three goals per 90 are difficult records to overlook. We are expecting a high-quality encounter in this one but fancy the hosts to claim the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Braga had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
74.47% (-0.251 -0.25) 14.93% (0.19 0.19) 10.61% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.47% (-0.816 -0.82)29.53% (0.82 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.38% (-1 -1)50.62% (1.003 1)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.28% (-0.227 -0.23)6.72% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.14% (-0.623 -0.62)24.86% (0.628 0.63)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.49 -0.49)38.99% (0.495 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29% (-0.465 -0.47)75.71% (0.47 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 74.47%
    Braga 10.61%
    Draw 14.93%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 9% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 8.6% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.242 0.24)
4-0 @ 5.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.47% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.47%
1-1 @ 6.66% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.62% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.93%
1-2 @ 3.14% (0.025 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
96.6%
Draw
3.4%
Braga
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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