Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.91% (![]() | 22.75% (![]() | 56.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% (![]() | 45.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% (![]() | 67.81% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% (![]() | 35.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% (![]() | 72.61% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% (![]() | 15.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.77% (![]() | 45.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |