Nizhny Novgorod

2 - 1

Rubin Kazan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.