Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
26.03% (![]() | 24.47% (![]() | 49.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% (![]() | 47.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% (![]() | 69.89% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% (![]() | 32.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% (![]() | 69.02% (![]() |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% (![]() | 19.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% (![]() | 51.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 7.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 11.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 10.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |