Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.