Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath0 - 2Motherwell
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Arbroath and Motherwell.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Arbroath
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Ross County
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Motherwell |
33.33% ( 0.1) | 25.34% ( 0.17) | 41.33% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
