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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
Penney (59'), Slattery (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at the bottom end of the table, we expect a closely fought affair which could go right to the wire as both teams search for some momentum. On this occasion, Motherwell will just do enough to edge past Kilmarnock and move further away from the relegation playoff slot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
33.41% (-0.124 -0.12) 26.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 39.73% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (0.095999999999997 0.1)54.08% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.5% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)30.44% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.131 0.13)26.65% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.17299999999999 0.17)61.89% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 33.41%
    Kilmarnock 39.72%
    Draw 26.85%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.41%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.72%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Motherwell
85.4%
Draw
4.9%
Kilmarnock
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
Dec 30, 2020 6.15pm
Motherwell
0-2
Kilmarnock

Crawford (56'), Campbell (63')
O'Hara (52')
Kiltie (41'), Whitehall (53' pen.)
Tshibola (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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