Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
28.64% (![]() | 27% (![]() | 44.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% (![]() | 56.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% (![]() | 77.22% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% (![]() | 34.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% (![]() | 71.67% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% (![]() | 25.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.09% (![]() | 59.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.25% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |