Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Benevento win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.