We said: Cagliari 1-2 Sassuolo
The pressure is on Cagliari heading into Saturday's contest, as they bid to end their five-game losing streak and move away from the bottom three.
Both sides have struggled to come out on top against each other in recent meetings, with the last five league encounters ending as a draw, but we feel that the quality that Sassuolo pose in the final third will help them to edge past the hosts on this occasion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.