Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Crotone |
50.74% | 24.35% | 24.91% |
Both teams to score 53.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.91% | 48.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.75% | 70.25% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% | 18.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% | 50.49% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.37% | 33.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.72% | 70.28% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |