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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
San Siro
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Spezia

Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia

There should be no expectations other than a comfortable home win at San Siro, due to the combination of Inter's fine form and Spezia's calamitous approach to defending. Even if Simone Inzaghi opts to rotate his resources, the quality at his disposal far outweighs his imperiled counterpart, whose reign as boss of the visitors could be coming to an end if their fortunes do not improve soon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
82.57%11.2%6.23%
Both teams to score 51.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.21%46.8%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.32%4.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.97%19.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6%46.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97%82.03%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.57%
    Spezia 6.23%
    Draw 11.2%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
3-0 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 10.19%
3-1 @ 7.99%
4-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 6.12%
5-0 @ 4.88%
5-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.07%
6-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-1 @ 1.91%
5-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 82.57%
1-1 @ 5.11%
2-2 @ 3.01%
0-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 11.2%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.23%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
87.6%
Draw
7.6%
Spezia
4.8%
105
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Spezia
1-1
Inter Milan
Farias (12')
Marchizza (62'), Estevez (89')
Perisic (39')
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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