Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
82.57% | 11.2% | 6.23% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.21% | 46.8% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.32% | 4.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.97% | 19.03% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.03% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
3-0 @ 10.4% 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 6.12% 5-0 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.07% 6-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 2.35% 6-1 @ 1.91% 5-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.47% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.11% 2-2 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.2% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.6% Total : 6.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |