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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Lecce logo

Juventus
2 - 1
Lecce

Paredes (15'), Vlahovic (40')
Paredes (55'), Bremer (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ceesay (37' pen.)
Umtiti (48'), Pezzella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Lecce

Though Juventus lost their defensive solidity in April, they can start a new month by shutting out goal-shy Lecce and getting back on the winning trail. It might not make pleasant viewing, but Max Allegri's men will grind out victory to stay one step ahead of their rivals in the top-four race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLecce
59.33% (2.673 2.67) 23.57% (-0.901 -0.9) 17.1% (-1.771 -1.77)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (0.948 0.95)54% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.788 0.79)75.44% (-0.786 -0.79)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (1.354 1.35)17.94% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (2.274 2.27)48.76% (-2.274 -2.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92% (-1.586 -1.59)45.08% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19% (-1.292 -1.29)80.99% (1.293 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 59.32%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 23.57%
JuventusDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.374 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Juventus vs Lecce

Juventus
90.1%
Draw
7.7%
Lecce
2.2%
91
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
gameweek 12
Lecce
0-1
Juventus
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12')
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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