MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:31:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lecce

A total of five draws from eight on their travels shows how hard Lecce can be to beat, so Atalanta may have to settle for a point in their final game of 2023. The hosts are often caught out at the back, and their visitors could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 19.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)83.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.73%
    Lecce 12.35%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
74.0%
Draw
18.0%
Lecce
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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