Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
69.92% | 17.26% | 12.82% |
Both teams to score 55.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.87% | 35.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.86% | 57.14% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% | 76% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.71% Total : 69.91% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |