Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
74.08% | 15.37% | 10.55% |
Both teams to score 54.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% | 32.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.36% | 53.64% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.63% | 7.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.42% | 26.58% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% | 40.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% | 77.48% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.86% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.37% | 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |