Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.