Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Monza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Monza |
| 42.82% | 25.99% | 31.18% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% | 51.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% | 73.03% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% | 23.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.13% | 57.87% |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% | 30.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 42.82%
Monza 31.18%
Draw 25.99%
| SPAL | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.18% |
