Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
