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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
4 - 2
Celta Vigo

Kounde (5'), En-Nesyri (45+3'), Escudero (85'), El Haddadi (87')
Navas (2'), Escudero (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aspas (10'), Nolito (36')
Suarez (54'), Mallo (72')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in La Liga when they continue their 2020-21 campaign at home to Celta Vigo on Saturday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side have only picked up 10 points from their seven league matches this season to sit 12th in the table, while Celta are 17th, having collected just seven points from nine fixtures.


Match preview

Chelsea's Kurt Zouma competes with Sevilla players during their Champions League match on October 20, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla enjoyed an excellent 2019-20 campaign as they finished fourth in La Liga in addition to winning the Europa League, but it would be fair to say that their league form this season has been disappointing.

Three wins, one draw and three defeats - that is how Lopetegui's team have performed in Spain's top flight this term, picking up 10 points to leave themselves in 12th position in the table.

Sevilla actually lost three straight league matches to Granada, Eibar and Athletic Bilbao between October 17 and October 31, but they managed to record a 1-0 win over Osasuna before the international break.

The Europa League holders have also made a positive start to their Champions League campaign, picking up seven points from three matches to sit second in Group E, level on points with Chelsea.

Los Nervionenses will be determined to make it successive league wins this weekend, but they only collected one point from their two matches with Celta during the 2019-20 La Liga campaign.

Celta Vigo players celebrate Iago Aspas's late goal against Barcelona on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Celta, meanwhile, have only won one of their nine league matches this season, picking up seven points in total to sit 17th in the table, just one point outside of the relegation zone.

Huesca and Levante will both play before Celta take to the field for this match, meaning that the Sky Blues could be inside the relegation zone by the time that kickoff arrives.

Celta actually sacked Oscar Garcia as head coach following the 1-1 draw with Elche before the international break, with Eduardo Coudet now in charge of first-team affairs.

Coudet has previously been in charge of Rosario Central, Club Tijuana, Racing Club and Internacional, but the 46-year-old does not have any European managerial experience.

The Celts have finished 17th in La Liga in each of the last two campaigns, and it does appear that it will be another tough season for a club battling to stay in the top flight.

Sevilla La Liga form: WDLLLW
Sevilla form (all competitions): DLWLWW

Celta Vigo La Liga form: LLLDLD


Team News

Sevilla hero Luuk de Jong kisses the Europa League trophy following their victory over Inter Milan on August 21, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla will be without the services of Carlos Fernandez due to a positive coronavirus test, while Jesus Navas and Suso are on the sidelines through injury.

Lopetegui is expected to make changes from the side that started against Osasuna before the international break, with Luuk de Jong, Ivan Rakitic and Munir El Haddadi all likely to return to the XI.

Navas's enforced absence should see Sergio Escudero come into the starting side, but Joan Jordan and Fernando are expected to keep their spots in the middle of the park.

As for Celta, Emre Mor, Kevin Vazquez and Sergio Alvarez are unavailable through injury, but Jose Fontan is available after missing the clash with Elche through suspension.

Iago Aspas is certain to start in the final third of the field, and the former Liverpool attacker could be joined by Nolito and Denis Suarez as part of a fluid front three.

Fran Beltran for Santi Mina is an alteration that could occur, but the bulk of the side that started the team's last match are expected to take to the field once again despite the change of manager.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Escudero, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Rakitic, Fernando, Jordan; Munir, L De Jong, Ocampos

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Blanco; Mallo, Aidoo, Murillo, Olaza; Mendez, Tapia, Beltran; Nolito, Aspas, Suarez


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 2-0 Celta Vigo

Sevilla have been far from their best in the league this season, while Celta could be boosted by a change of manager. The hosts will be determined to make it back-to-back victories in Spain's top flight, though, and we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a routine success for Lopetegui's team.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo?

Sevilla
83.5%
Draw
10.9%
Celta Vigo
5.6%
266
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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