Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.