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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Umraniyespor

Kasimpasa
1 - 1
Umraniyespor

Fall (29')
Eysseric (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mrsic (41' pen.)
Goksu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-2 Umraniyespor

In just the third-ever competitive meeting between the sides, the away side on the day has won both previous encounters, so Kasimpasa will hope they can buck that trend. Their solid home form suggests they can, but Umraniyespor are strong in attack so may cause them problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawUmraniyespor
54.37% (-0.853 -0.85) 21.94% (0.132 0.13) 23.69% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 60.58% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (0.197 0.2)38.46% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (0.212 0.21)60.75% (-0.216 -0.22)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.206 -0.21)14.17% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.393 -0.39)41.86% (0.389 0.39)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (0.705 0.7)29.41% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.854 0.85)65.4% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.37%
    Umraniyespor 23.69%
    Draw 21.94%
KasimpasaDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Fenerbahce107212391423
3Samsunspor1071220101022
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor103251220-811
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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