Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sion had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Sion win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.