MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:43:23| >> :600:1102107:1102107:
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea
Estrela Amadora

Vila Mea
0 - 1
Estrela Amadora


Francisco Oliveira Miranda (73'), Odailson (80'), Felipe Sousa Costa (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almeida (84')
Genezio (57'), Mansur (71'), Pereira Martins (90+5'), Tavares (90+7')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Vila Mea and Estrela Amadora.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Vila Mea had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Vila Mea win was 1-0 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Estrela Amadora in this match.

Result
Vila MeaDrawEstrela Amadora
24.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 24.12% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.073 0.07)47.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.068000000000001 0.07)69.59% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Vila Mea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.119 0.12)33.47% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.133 0.13)70.11% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)18.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)49.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vila Mea 24.63%
    Estrela Amadora 51.23%
    Draw 24.12%
Vila MeaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 6.78%
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.71% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 8.82% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.23%

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