World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Liberia0 - 1Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Liberia 1-1 Malawi
Currently on a poor run of results, Liberia and Malawi will be looking to find their feet and get their qualifying campaign off to a fine start. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 11.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malawi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Malawi |
11.78% ( -0.09) | 22.2% ( -0.57) | 66.01% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 36.88% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
