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Morocco national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Eritrea national football team

Morocco
C-C
Eritrea

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Morocco and Eritrea.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eritrea 0-1 Sudan
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 94.73%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 0.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.49%) and 4-0 (16.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.52%), while for a Eritrea win it was 0-1 (0.37%).

Result
MoroccoDrawEritrea
94.73% (-1.305 -1.31) 4.82% (0.8871 0.89) 0.46% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 9.55% (8.6369 8.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99% (1.598 1.6)35.01% (-1.596 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43% (1.76 1.76)57% (-1.759 -1.76)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.09% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)3.91% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.42% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)16.58% (0.195 0.2)
Eritrea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
9.94% (8.989 8.99)90.06% (-8.987 -8.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.51% (0.507 0.51)99.49% (-0.505 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 94.71%
    Eritrea 0.46%
    Draw 4.82%
MoroccoDrawEritrea
3-0 @ 19.99% (-1.97 -1.97)
2-0 @ 18.49% (-1.73 -1.73)
4-0 @ 16.2% (-1.68 -1.68)
1-0 @ 11.41% (-1 -1)
5-0 @ 10.5% (-1.15 -1.15)
6-0 @ 5.68% (-0.649 -0.65)
7-0 @ 2.63% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-1 @ 2.09% (1.883 1.88)
2-1 @ 1.94% (1.743 1.74)
4-1 @ 1.7% (1.525 1.53)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.989 0.99)
8-0 @ 1.07% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 94.71%
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-1 @ 1.19% (1.075 1.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 4.82%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 0.46%

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