Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.