Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
