Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Mar 29, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory5 - 3Adelaide United
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-2 Victory
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-5 Macarthur
Friday, March 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.5%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
54.5% ( 0.12) | 20.82% ( -0.08) | 24.68% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.96% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
