MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 11:12:31| >> :600:542354:542354:
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Botswana national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohutsiwa (16'), Kopelang (21'), Mangolo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana

With goals at a premium for both Mauritania and Botswana of late, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair in this one. That said, we can see the home side coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes to continue their already established dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritania in this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
37.08% (0.126 0.13) 30.38% (0.044 0.04) 32.53% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.59% (-0.15 -0.15)66.4% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.14% (-0.104 -0.1)84.86% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.11%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.21 -0.21)37.55% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.206 -0.21)74.33% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 37.08%
    Botswana 32.53%
    Draw 30.38%
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.38%
0-1 @ 12.65%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Botswana

Mauritania
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Botswana
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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