MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 06:12:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Teutonia Hamburg 0-8 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 RB Leipzig

 Despite the promise of goals, the winner of the last five games between Leverkusen and Leipzig has seen the winning side keep a clean sheet. That is not expected this time, with Alonso's side edging proceedings in gameweek one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
38.05% (-1.955 -1.96) 23.67% (-0.233 -0.23) 38.27% (2.185 2.19)
Both teams to score 62.74% (1.036 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (1.285 1.29)39.23% (-1.286 -1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (1.332 1.33)61.56% (-1.334 -1.33)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.37 -0.37)20.85% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.582 -0.58)53.53% (0.581 0.58)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (1.671 1.67)20.74% (-1.672 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (2.563 2.56)53.36% (-2.566 -2.57)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 38.05%
    RB Leipzig 38.27%
    Draw 23.67%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.123 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.248 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.341 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.246 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.213 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.153 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.27%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
33.3%
Draw
17.3%
RB Leipzig
49.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
2-0
RB Leipzig
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
RB Leipzig
2-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
B. Leverkusen
0-1
RB Leipzig

Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
RB Leipzig
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Nkunku (51')
Kluivert (90'), Haidara (90+2')

Bellarabi (60'), Bailey (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!