Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Teutonia Hamburg 0-8 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup

Goals
for

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 RB Leipzig

Despite the promise of goals, the winner of the last five games between Leverkusen and Leipzig has seen the winning side keep a clean sheet. That is not expected this time, with Alonso's side edging proceedings in gameweek one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
38.05% ( -1.96)	23.67% ( -0.23)	38.27% ( 2.19)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

1.29)

39.23% (

-1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

1.33)

61.56% (

-1.33)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.37)

20.85% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.58)

53.53% (

0.58)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

1.67)

20.74% (

-1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

2.56)

53.36% (

-2.57)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 38.05%

RB Leipzig 38.27%

Draw 23.67%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.05%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.27%