Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 B. Leverkusen (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen
Given that Bayer Leverkusen were forced to endure extra time and penalties on Thursday, Alonso's fatigued team look set to suffer a fourth defeat in five Bundesliga outings, while Freiburg are expected to enhance their title bid with a third successive victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
51.87% ( 0.7) | 22.65% ( -0.19) | 25.47% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
