Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Uth (3'), Modeste (43'), Thielmann (86')
Ozcan (67'), Uth (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hubers (33' og.)
Pieper (30'), Serra (32'), Wimmer (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46

Arminia Bielefeld

Last Six:

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Engers vs. Arminia Bielefeld
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33
17	Arminia Bielefeld	34	-26	28
18	Greuther Furth	34	-54	18

We said: FC Koln 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld

Given the contrasting form of the two teams, we can only envisage a home victory on Saturday. With momentum on their side and the chance to climb into the top six, Baumgart's side should have enough to sweep the strugglers aside on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 12.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
69.55%	18.32%	12.13%

Both teams to score 49.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98%

42.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58%

64.42%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06%

10.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.85%

35.14%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.1%

44.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.15%

80.85%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 69.53%

Arminia Bielefeld 12.13%

Draw 18.32%

FC Koln	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 12.02% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.84% 5-0 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.88% Total : 69.53%	1-1 @ 8.7% 0-0 @ 4.91% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.32%	0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.49% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.03% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.13%