Friendlies 3
Nov 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Tajikistan3 - 1Afghanistan
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Tajikistan and Afghanistan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tajikistan 4-0 Nepal
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 13 at 1pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Nepal 2-0 Afghanistan
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Afghanistan |
66.95% ( -0.24) | 20.32% ( 0.15) | 12.73% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
