MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 14:00:48| >> :60:334:334:
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
 
Azerbaijan national football team

Sweden
vs.
Azerbaijan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League

We say: Sweden 3-0 Azerbaijan

Neither side has much to play for, so a straightforward Sweden win should be expected against opponents that have leaked lots of goals so far. The hosts will sign off their brief stay in League C with a celebratory win, while Azerbaijan are surely bound for the Nations League's lowest tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 81.76%. A draw has a probability of 12.1% and a win for Azerbaijan has a probability of 6.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.69%), while for an Azerbaijan win it is 0-1 (2%).

Result
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
81.76% (1.839 1.84) 12.05% (-0.942 -0.94) 6.19% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-1.409 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (0.994 0.99)31.61% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (1.159 1.16)53.11% (-1.156 -1.16)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.19% (0.547 0.55)5.81% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.67% (1.527 1.53)22.33% (-1.524 -1.52)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.3% (-1.791 -1.79)50.7% (1.795 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86% (-1.247 -1.25)85.14% (1.25 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 81.75%
    Azerbaijan 6.19%
    Draw 12.05%
SwedenDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 11.92% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 11.31% (0.47 0.47)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.342 -0.34)
4-0 @ 8.05% (0.577 0.58)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.47% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 4.58% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 3.11% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.281 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.48% (0.123 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 81.75%
1-1 @ 5.69% (-0.432 -0.43)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.268 -0.27)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 12.05%
0-1 @ 2% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 6.19%

Who will win Tuesday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Azerbaijan?

Sweden
Draw
Azerbaijan
Sweden
100%
Draw
0.0%
Azerbaijan
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
1-3
Sweden
Dadasov (82')
Dadasov (49'), Dzhenetov (79')
Isak (65', 71'), Gyokeres (80' pen.)
Wahlqvist (59'), Saletros (90+1')
Nov 16, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
3-0
Sweden
Mahmudov (3', 89'), Dadasov (6')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')

Kulusevski (46'), Cajuste (52'), Andersson (56')
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sweden
5-0
Azerbaijan
Forsberg (38'), Mustafazada (65' og.), Gyokeres (79'), Karlsson (88'), Elanga (89')
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
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