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Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 1, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Penarol

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Penarol

Nikao (24'), Rocha (80')
Ivaldo (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (36'), Ramos (45+5'), Canobbio (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Penarol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPenarol
56.23%24.26%19.51%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65%53.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11%74.89%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71%50.29%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16%41.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71%78.29%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 56.23%
    Penarol 19.51%
    Draw 24.25%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.51%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Penarol

Athletico Paranaense
50.0%
Draw
13.6%
Penarol
36.4%
22
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2021 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Penarol
1-2
Athletico PR
Trindade (40'), Busquets (74'), Alvarez (84'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Erick (13'), Richard (33'), Nicolas (77'), Nikao (83'), Cittadini (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Penarol
3-2
Athletico PR
Formiliano (2'), Kagelmacher (63'), Britos (81')
Gonzalez (36'), Richard (45')
Mar 4, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Athletico PR
1-0
Penarol
Bissoli (77')
Bambu (43'), Cittadini (69'), Carlos (79'), Azevedo (90')

Rojas (11'), Terans (61'), Trindade (69'), Bravo (85')
Aug 7, 2018 11.30pm
Second Stage
Penarol
1-4
Athletico PR
Rodriguez (62')
Pereira (7'), Marcinho (52'), Nikao (68'), Guimaraes (92')
Felipe (45')
Jul 26, 2018 11.30pm
Second Stage
Athletico PR
2-0
Penarol
Cirino (60'), Felipe (80')
Andre (13'), Wanderson (39')
Wanderson (45')

Fernandez (13'), Canobbio (83')
Fernandez (62')
rhs 2.0
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