Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi
River Plate1 - 2Cuiaba
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Cuiaba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: River Plate vs. Cerrito
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Cuiaba vs. Bragantino
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Avai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Cuiaba |
33.39% ( 0) | 27.92% ( -0.01) | 38.69% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
