MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 23:11:58| >> :600:1299982:1299982:
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Gillingham

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
59.17% (0.432 0.43) 23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (-0.499 -0.5)53.75% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (-0.422 -0.42)75.23% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.9% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.802 -0.8)44.73% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.651 -0.65)80.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%
    Gillingham 17.26%
    Draw 23.57%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Wolves vs Gillingham

Wolverhampton Wanderers
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gillingham
14.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Wolves
4-0
Gillingham
Griffiths (4', 68' pen.), Evans (24'), Sako (30')
Feb 19, 2005 3pm
Wolves
2-2
Gillingham
Miller (60'), Clarke (90')
Naylor (90')
Flynn (89'), Henderson (55')
Southall (54')
Oct 30, 2004 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Wolves
Jarvis (18')
Hessenthaler (13'), Sidibe (38')
Cox (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!