Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
40.32% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.16) | 35.43% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% ( 0.79) | 42.23% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( 0.79) | 64.64% ( -0.79) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( 0.35) | 21.06% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.12% ( 0.54) | 53.87% ( -0.54) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.45) | 23.54% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( 0.65) | 57.6% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |