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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
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NAC Breda
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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Vitesse

Sparta
3 - 1
Vitesse

Verschueren (11'), Saito (45'), Kitolano (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Oroz (7')
Wittek (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-1 AZ
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Vitesse

Sparta will have renewed confidence after their big win last week, while Vitesse are in the middle of a rut and could fall even further down the standings this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
37.29% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 25% (0.035 0.04) 37.71% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (-0.162 -0.16)45.66% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.154 -0.15)67.98% (0.154 0.15)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)24.11% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)58.41% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)23.88% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (-0.192 -0.19)58.08% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.29%
    Vitesse 37.71%
    Draw 25%
Sparta RotterdamDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam
70.2%
Draw
14.9%
Vitesse
14.9%
47
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 19, 2022 5.45pm
Vitesse
0-1
Sparta

Bero (40'), Buitink (49'), Wittek (67')
Dalmau (5')
Beugelsdijk (18'), Auassar (40'), (67'), Engels (87')
Dec 18, 2021 5.45pm
Sparta
2-2
Vitesse
Mijnans (70', 90+2')
Frederiksen (16', 37')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.45pm
Vitesse
2-0
Sparta
Tannane (27'), Broja (82')
Darfalou (44'), Hajek (53')

Harroui (6'), Heylen (20'), Pinto (54')
Heylen (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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