UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Besiktas

Gronbaek (28'), Moumbagna (58'), Saltnes (87')
Berg (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moe (90+1' og.)
Ghezzal (67'), Muleka (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Bodo/Glimt and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-3 Sandefjord
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Besiktas

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Besiktas
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 3-1 (6.7%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Besiktas
55.35% ( -2.25)	20.76% ( 0.51)	23.89% ( 1.74)

Both teams to score 65.22% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.49% (

-0.37)

32.51% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.84% (

-0.43)

54.15% (

0.43)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

-0.73)

11.89% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.78% (

-1.59)

37.22% (

1.58)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

1.15)

25.97% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

1.53)

60.99% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 55.35%

Besiktas 23.89%

Draw 20.76%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.35%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.89%