We said: Besiktas 2-0 Kayserispor
Although Kayserispor have made a solid start to the season, they are still yet to pick up a win away from home, and they have a very poor record against Besiktas.
As such, we expect the hosts to run out fairly comfortable winners on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.